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What we learned

If I could redo my solar setup​

Before installing panels:

  • Upgrade main panel to 200 amps
  • Upgrade roof with certified roofer
  • Upgrade all appliances to electric
  • Remove gas meter (PG$E removes for free)
  • Use January electric bill kWh and multiply it by 12 to size system
  • Oversize my solar panel system as much as I can for the future 5+ decades

Planning the installtion:

  • Add a 2nd inverter to avoid clipping and to have a backup inverter
  • Install batteries outside in the shade instead of inside the garage (if your climate allows it)

Know your goals​

Before installing solar panels, we didn't know much about solar and just had two goals:

  • Be able to power our house during a power outage.
  • Reduce our electric bills.

But after installing solar panels and learning more, our desires and goals changed:

  • It's thrilling to see the huge surplus of energy generated in spring and summer!
  • Instead of reducing our electric bills in half, they're reduced by 90%--we're so close to being off-grid!
  • Let's convert all gas appliances to electric to use all of this free excess energy!

And then some truths became apparent:

  • Winter sun is so low and cloudy and generates about one-third of summer sun...
  • We need a 2nd battery to run the clothes dryer (or multiple appliances) without drawing from the grid...
    • Note: This is no longer a problem with a single Powerwall3 battery
  • We need four more solar panels ($600) to generate more power to avoid drawing from the grid during winter...
  • No installer will do $600 worth of work since they focus on installing $18,000 - $28,000 solar panel systems...

So, now we're stuck with what we have. We still love our solar panels, but it would've been nice to have a slightly bigger system from the start.

The moral: think carefully what you want to achieve because it's near impossible to find an installer willing to go out for a tiny amount of profit--changes need to be expensive enough to make it worth their time.

Other things to consider:

  • Panels last many decades--latest studies state solar panels last at least 40 or 50 years.
  • Panels degrade 0.5% per year, so by year 40, your system will generate 20% less than their first year.
  • Electricity rates keep increasing, so it's best to oversize your solar panel system as much as you can.
  • Batteries seem expensive but are totaaly worth it--and are necessary for evenings, cloudy days, and outtages.
  • 10-year financing is probably the most affordable method (we paid $260/mo) since there's no penalty on extra payments.

Install as much as you can​

Solar generation fluctuates throughout the year, so summer months generate about 2.5x as much energy as winter months.

Seasonal kWh highs and lows

So, if you size your solar array based on what solar installers use (kWh usage on your bills of the last 12 months), then you'll have:

  • a surplus of energy during summer months --> that is either stored in batteries or sold to the grid.
  • a deficit of energy during winter months --> that is drawn from the grid.
  • not enough to power your home during a winter outtage --> you will be affected just like houses without solar panels.

The solution is to buy more than your annual kWh usage. That is, buy one battery and as many solar panels as you can afford. If you have a 2024 or newer EV, then that vehicle can be your 2nd (and 3rd and 4th) battery due to its bidirectional charging.

For about 2-3% more money above covering your annual kWh usage, you can buy more panels that will heavily reduce your risk of being powerless during a winter outage.

For example, in our case:

4 more panels for 2% more